Methodological foundation


Leidra works according to established intelligence and analysis standards. The standards are not academic — they are operational tools that make deliverables verifiable and comparable over time.

ICD 203I.

Probability language

When we say "likely," it means 60–80% — nothing less precise. ICD 203 (Intelligence Community Directive 203) standardizes how analysts express uncertainty so the reader doesn't have to guess what "probably," "possibly," or "most likely" means. Every assessment is expressed on a calibrated scale that is consistent across deliverables and over time.

AJP-2.1 AdmiraltyII.

Source evaluation

Each source is evaluated on two axes: reliability (A–F) and information credibility (1–6). A source rated "B2" means something concrete: "usually reliable, probably true." This makes assessments verifiable — you can see how much weight we assigned to each individual claim.

So What?III.

Decision discipline

Every deliverable answers what the analysis means for the client's decision. Not "here's what we found" — but "here's what we believe you should do, and why." The discipline forces us to connect analysis to consequence, making the deliverable usable without additional interpretation.

Audit trailIV.

Traceability

Every claim is traceable back to a primary source. When a client's situation evolves, a follow-up assessment can build directly on the previous one without redoing the work. This makes Leidra deliverables cumulative — value accumulates over time.