III.Intelligence and risk analysis

Structured assessments with source evaluation and audit trail


Geopolitical risk, supplier risk, supply chain exposure, and sector-specific threat assessments. Every claim is traceable to a primary source, every assessment calibrated by likelihood and source quality.

Standards we follow

  • ICD 203

    Analytic Standards

    Probability language and analytic integrity

  • AJP-2.1

    Admiralty Code

    Source evaluation: reliability × credibility

  • PESTLE+

    Structured context analysis

    Political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental

  • OSINT

    Open-source intelligence

    Disciplined use of open sources with quality control

What you receive

  • 01Structured risk analysis with calibrated likelihood
  • 02Source evaluation on every claim (Admiralty)
  • 03"So What?" section: what this means for your decision
  • 04Updatable baseline for later follow-up assessments

Need a structured assessment of a specific risk?

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